Climate is changing and testing our limits. Energy systems CAN adapt.

​In 2022 Lumen Energy Strategy, LLC launched the WARP to Resilience study to advance California's analytical tools for electricity resource planning by incorporating the impacts of climate change and environmental extremes on electricity supply and demand, and to evaluate the future resilience of electricity service to ratepayers.
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WARP to Resilience is made possible by a research grant awarded by the California Energy Commission (CEC) under the state's Electric Program Investment Charge (EPIC). To learn more about the study's foundation see the CEC's Grant Funding Opportunity GFO-21-302 Research to Support a Climate Resilient Transition to a Clean Electricity System.

Download our Kickoff Presentation for an overview of the study vision, objectives, and expected timeline. Additional study materials will be posted here.

​To stay informed, subscribe to our WARP to Resilience mailing list.

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Study  MateriaLs

CPUC Workshop Series on Resiliency
In a series of workshops hosted by the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC), the Lumen team led discussions to explore resiliency definitions, metrics, and methodologies, with a focus on Integrated Resource Planning (IRP) use case, and presented their research findings to CPUC Commissioner Shiroma, CPUC Staff, and CPUC Resiliency and Microgrids stakeholders.

Climate Resilience in Integrated Resource Planning: Resilience Definitions
May 10, 2023

Climate Resilience in Integrated Resource Planning: Resilience Metrics
September 5, 2023

Improving Resilience through Integrated Resource Planning
November 8, 2023

CEC IEPR Stakeholder Workshops
In several workshops hosted by the California Energy Commission (CEC), the Lumen team discussed their work on integration of climate projections into the CEC's energy demand forecast, and presented their research and analytical findings to CEC Commissioners, CEC Staff, and CEC Integrated Energy Policy Report (IEPR) stakeholders.

Projected Climate Trends and Patterns of Interest to California’s Energy System
August 18, 2023

Development of Future Weather Variants for Demand Forecast
August 18, 2023

Key Findings in Climate Data Analyses for Demand Forecast Integration
December 19, 2023

Development of Future Weather Variants for Demand Forecast
July 30, 2024

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​© 2020–2024 Lumen Energy Strategy, LLC.

Image notes and credits, left to right: 2017 flooding in Sacramento, California (Sacramento Area Flood Control Agency​); September 6, 2020 temperatures across California (NASA/Joshua Stevens); Lake Oroville in 2020 (AP/Ethan Swope); 2021 Caldor fire (AP/Ethan Swope); Smoke from 2020 August Complex fire (CNN/Harmeet Kaur); Homes in Paradise, California prior to the 2018 Camp Fire (ABC/Tilley and Leslie/Google Earth; San Francisco buildings (Unsplash/Pandya); Olivenhain Reservoir, a component of the Lake Hodges Pumped Storage Facilities (San Diego County Water Authority); Topaz Solar Farm in San Luis Obispo, California (Google Maps); Dallas Energy Storage 1–3/Moss 300 facility (InsideEVs.com).